Sunday, November 8, 2015

Radio Overview

Radio

HISTORY

Early Radio Milestones

1873:  James Maxwell of Scotland suggests an electromagnetic signal could be sent through
space without using wires

1887:  Heinrich Hertz, of Germany, verifies Maxwell's theory in a series of experiments by
sending and detecting radio waves

1896:  Guglielmo Marconi sends wireless signal two miles in Morse Code (letters encoded by
a system of dots and dashes); sees promise of "wireless" (radio's first name) as a
ship-to-shore or ship communication medium; starts wireless telegraph company

1906: Reginald Fessenden, with the help of G.E., makes first high-speed continuous-wave
generator that can broadcast the human voice and music; makes first "broadcast" of
music to ships in New York Harbor on Christmas Eve

1908:  American Lee de Forest, inventor of vacuum tube which made it much easier to receive
audio waves, broadcasts a classical phonograph concert from the Eiffel Tower

Patent wars between inventors severely hampers early radio’s development; but when the US Navy assumes responsibility for all relevant patents at the outbreak of World War I, the log jam is broken and great technical strides take place.

The Evolution of Radio as a Mass Medium

Big Business

While radio development before World War I had been characterized by individual inventions, during the postwar years it would be characterized by corporate maneuvers.  In 1919 the Marconi Company sells its radio rights to General Electric (GE) who, in turn, created the Radio Corporation of America (RCA) to house the new division.  Stock would be jointly held by GE, the American Telephone and Telegraph Company (AT&T), and Westinghouse Electric.  David Sarnoff, an RCA  mid-manager but soon-to-be president of RCA, suggests radio would be a household appliance.

Mass Audience

Shortly before 1920 Frank Conrad, a Westinghouse engineer, begins broadcasting a potpourri of sports scores and music from his garage.  A local department store promotes the broadcasts by offering $10 discounts on their ready-built wireless sets.  Westinghouse sees opportunity and initiates the first radio station, KDKA of Pittsburgh, on November 20, 1920.  RCA begins broadcasting in 1921 and GE in 1922.  By 1926 there are over two million sets in operation and climbing rapidly.  By discovering that an audience existed for broadcast programs intended for the general public, radio had found the role it was to play for the foreseeable future.

Better Receivers

Early radios were bulky, filled with tubes and batteries, and required lots of patience from users in order to find—and keep—the desired radio signal for which they were looking.  In 1925 Gimbel's Department Store displays a bulky radio set in their window ($99, a huge sum in the 20s); that same day they sell 5,300 sets.  Radio receivers quickly evolve from a bulky, battery-dependent, one-listener hobby kit into a major piece of fashionable furniture running on household current that everyone could listen to at once.  Living room family radio had arrived.  Between 1925-1930, some 17 million sets are sold at an average price of $80.

Radio Goes Commercial

Station operating and equipment costs rose steadily along with personnel expenses.  Radio needed a steady revenue source to meet expenses.  AT&T's radio station begins charging a "toll" to anyone who wished to broadcast a message, and the most logical customers for that service were businesses who had services or products to sell.  Almost overnight, advertising becomes the new answer to how stations would make money.

Networks

The fifth element of radio's evolution came about when stations saw they could drastically cut their production costs by sharing program content; this inter-station agreement came to be known as a network.  Additionally, if enough stations were networked, an advertiser could reach a much larger audience yet deal with only one network broker.  The first network was the National Broadcasting Company (NBC) who went on the air in 1926; actually, NBC opened with two separate networks, one made up of solely owned RCA stations, and another made up of stations originally owned by AT&T.

By 1937 NBC had 111 affiliates and CBS had 105.  It wasn’t long before advertisers were spending more than $27 million annually on network advertising.

Government Regulation

As more radio stations came online in the 1920s, interference became a major problem.  In response, Congress passes the Radio Act of 1927 and creates the Federal Radio Commission to curtail practices that were causing massive interference problems by using non-authorized frequencies and power levels.  The FRC defines the AM band, standardizes channel designations, and abolishes portable stations.  Thus by the end of the 1920s the framework for modern radio was in place.  It would be a commercially supported medium dominated by networks and regulated by an agency of the federal government.

The Depression 1930-1940

Unlike other industries, radio fared fairly well in the Depression years.  Radio revenues tripled and  radio’s audience did the same (by 1940, radio was in 81 percent of US homes).  But there were also other significant evolutionary events for radio during this period.

            .  Federal Communications Commission (FCC) formed in 1934. President Roosevelt creates a new agency in charge of regulating all types of electronic communications; this seven-
member, appointed-for-life commission remains intact today and generally follows its original mandate

Birth of FM

In the mid-1930s Edwin Howard Armstrong, a noted inventor, demonstrated frequency modulated radio, or FM.  Despite FM's obvious superior quality over AM radio, Armstrong's audience, RCA, is not interested, opting instead to concentrate on developing TV as an emerging technology.  Though a few companies buy licenses from Armstrong to develop sets, WW II curtails FM's development.

Radio Programs

The gloom of the Depression years meant more people turned to radio for free entertainment, thus popular radio programs of this era reflected a need for diversion and escape.  Dramatic programs, such as The Lone Ranger, Gangbusters, The Shadow, Dick Tracy, and Buck Rogers flourished. Then radio created an entirely new dramatic genre, the soap opera; by 1940 there were some 40 different soaps on the air such as Helen Trent, Our Gal Sunday, Backstage Wife, and Clara, Lu 'n' Em.

The 1930s saw network news grow into a serious and highly respected field.  News commentator Edward R. Murrow with CBS news quickly becomes one of America's most respected news personalities (another first for radio).  President Franklin Roosevelt also finds a new and controversial role for radio, political speeches, with his famous Depression era "Fireside chats."

World War II

Radio thrives during WW II era.  Ad revenues double from 1940-1945, outpacing newspapers as the top national advertising vehicle in 1943.  In that same year, the Supreme Court forever alters the broadcast landscape by forcing NBC to divest itself of one of its two networks.  The new network that emerges, ABC, ends the war years with 195 affiliates, making it a full-fledged competitor with NBC and CBS.

Innovation and Change: 1945-1954

In the nine years following WW II, the growth of television forced radio to abandon its role as a dramatic entertainer and switch instead to a reliance on playing pre-recorded music.  The public’s focus on television as the nation’s new entertainment medium also helped delay the widespread acceptance of FM radio.

FM

Although FM sounded better than AM, was static free, and could reproduce a wider range of sound frequencies, a number of pieces of bad fortune hampered FM’s quick development.  Initially, of course, World War II froze FM development, but later these problems added to FM’s woes:

.            FM was trying to develop simultaneously with television’s evolution

.            FM and TV shared nearly the same electromagnetic wave area; in 1945 the FCC gave TV FM’s former bandwidths, moving FM into the 88-108-MHz band where it remains today.

Television

The emergence of TV meant changes in the contents, economics, and functions of radio.  Although TV did not have a negative effect on individual station revenues, it did drastically affect network radio.  Network affiliations were nearly cut in half; but despite a brief drop in revenues, radio profits continued to steadily increase.  To do that, radio stations turned less to network-based advertising and more to local advertisers for support.  Local stations created new formats (music, talk and news) to help fill the now vacated network program airtime.

Specialized Formats

More than anything these changes allowed local radio to adopt specialized formats, sounds that had distinctive appeal to a certain segment of the audience.  One highly successful format, the Top-40, soon became indistinguishable from any other Top-40 station—until, that is, the advent of the radio DJ, a home-grown personality in his own right that gave a station a distinctive edge over any other competition.  The clock hour, a program scheduling tool that specified every element of a station’s programming within a given time frame, soon emerged as a way to keep order within a program.

Growth and Stabilization: 1955-1990

Radio stations more than doubled during this period, and the Top-40 format became popular enough to tempt record promoters to bribe DJs to play selected music (an illegal practice known as payola). The idea that prompted payola was that the more a record was played on air, the more that record would sell.  Format specialization continued to grow even into the network level.  ABC, which was imitated by the other networks, soon splintered into four different formats for its 1300 affiliate stations.


The most significant development to radio, however, happened in 1970 with the final emergence of FM as a mass medium.  FM licenses were easier to get than AM, and in 1965 the FCC passed the nonduplication rule, which prevented AM-FM sister stations from duplicating more than 50 percent of the AM content to its sister FM station.  Faced with these factors, and the fact that FM had  a much better sound quality, FM stations became an attractive commodity.  By 1990, FM had captured over 70 percent of the national radio audience.

Country music became the most popular radio format, followed by adult contemporary, while AM became the home to news-talk, oldies, and religious stations.  National Public Radio (NPR) went on the air in the early 1970s as the country’s first non-commercial network; by 1980 it had over 160 affiliates and was reaching five million people weekly.  Its two most successful offerings are its daily news programs, “Morning Edition” and “All Things Considered.”

The Volatile 1990s

An unprecedented era of station consolidation began in 1994 when an FCC ruling upped the number of stations a company could own to 20 AM and 20 FM stations, and also allowing holdings of up to four stations in a single market.  Congress later passed the Telecommunications Act of 1996 which completely eliminated the number of stations a company could own and also upped the number of allowable single-owned stations within a single market to eight.

The overall philosophy that first guided the development of radio was localism.  Radio stations were, in principle, licensed primarily to serve the public interest of those within the listening area of the station.  Today, however, continuing station mergers and acquisitions by large corporations has greatly diminished the localist philosophy.  A corporatist view now commands center stage, which essentially advocates the idea that the public interest is whatever interests the public the most.




DEFINING FEATURES OF RADIO    

portable – small and convenient enough to go anywhere, anytime
supplemental – most listening occurs while doing something else: driving, working, studying
universal --  most homes have six radios with one in almost every car; 75% of us listen daily
selective – radio is a niche medium, with specialized formats attracting narrowly defined audiences; only 2 or 3 % of the available audience is usually sufficient to generate a profit


ORGANIZATION OF THE RADIO INDUSTRY

There are about 12,500 radio stations in the United States, many of which use network programming (wherein all affiliates carry the same program at the same time) and/or syndication services (stations decide themselves when to use program content); in practice, however, most radio stations broadcast whatever content they get whenever it suits them best.

Local Stations, Nets, and Syndicators

Network radio, a dominant force in the 1930-42, has greatly diminished in its role as a content provider.  Today the leading networks (ABC, Westwood, and Premiere) generally limit what they offer to news and public affairs programming, and, of course, limited national advertising.

By contrast, syndicated shows now enjoy an all-time demand, such as the programs based on “stars” such as Rush Limbaugh, John Tesh, Ryan Seacrest, Zac Sang and the Gang, Dr. Laura Schlessinger, Glenn Beck, etc.  Other, more specialized, syndicated shows also enjoy a niche market such as the Comedy Network and NASCAR.

AM and FM Stations

Everything being equal, AM (amplitude modulation) signals travel further than FM (frequency modulation) signals, especially at night.  With AM listenership on decline, FM radio commands about 75 percent of the total audience.

AM radio has three channel classifications:

. clear -- a single dominant station designed to provide service over a wide area, almost
always urban, and broadcasting with 50,000 watts of power

.  regional -- a channel shared by many stations that serve fairly large areas

.  local -- a channel designed to be shared by a large number of stations that broadcast only
to their local communities

FM, though not as powerful as AM, does have these significant technical advantages:

            .  superior sound quality
            .  less likely to be affected by outside interferences (storms)

Like AM, FM stations are also organized by classes in a descending order of output power--

an FM class “C” station (100,000 watts), for example, has more power than a class “B” or “A” station.

Station Formats

Perhaps the best way to categorize a station is by its format, a type of consistent programming designed to appeal to a certain segment of the audience.  This gives the station a distinctive type of personality that attracts a certain audience, which in turn attracts advertisers seeking to connect with that type of audience.  There are three basic categories: music, ethnic, and news/talk.

. The Music Format The largest category with many subdivisions and variations; the two most listened to music formats by 2014: 

Adult Contemporary (with four distinct subgroups with 15% of the audience), and

Country, (two subgroups with 11%).



News/Talk Format   
Most popular on AM, news/talk accounts for some 17% of all radio
listening time and attracts primarily a male audience in the 25-54-year-old category.  The talk show format attracts a similar audience, using such format variations as call-ins, advice shows, interviews, and the occasional abrasive and/or opinionated host. These shows are often blended in with hard news, sports, weather, and traffic reports.

Format Homogenization

Many radio stations sound alike wherever they are because of a number of factors:

            .  many group-owned stations assume that what works well in one city should work well in another city

            .  satellite-delivered music services are becoming more common and thus delivering standardized music throughout the countInbo.  Programming decisions are often   based on recommendations of program consultants and audience research firms that compile playlists based on audience surveys and focus groups, recommendations tend to be the same from station to station

Noncommercial Radio

In 1945 the FCC set aside several FM frequencies for educational broadcasting.  By 2000 there were about 1,900 noncommercial radio stations on the air (operated and supported mostly by universities and private foundations).  Programming for these stations is largely supplied by two networks:

.            National Public Radio  (NPR, founded in 1970, serves about 530 affiliates.  Stations pay NPR a programming fee based on audience size and annual budget).  The public radio stations that help support NPR receive financial support from the Corporation  for Public Broadcasting (CPB), a private non-profit organization funded by Congress. 

.            Public Radio International (PRI), formerly American Public Radio, is a network that acquires and distributes programming from station-based, independent, and international producers.  Unlike NPR, PRI does not produce any of its programming but does finance program production at member stations.

A noncommercial station can be an affiliate of either or both NPR and PRI.


OWNERSHIP IN THE RADIO INDUSTRY

The Telecommunications Act of 1996 spawned a flurry of major multi-billion dollar station mergers and acquisitions, among them a $23.5 billion merger between Clear Channel Communications and AMFM Incorporated, which resulted in the largest radio company in history; also of note is the $4.9 billion merger between Westinghouse/CBS and Infinity Broadcasting which now boasts a 163-station empire of multiple stations in top markets. (You'll find an updated list of radio station ownership in a different post). 

PRODUCING RADIO PROGRAMS

Departments and Staff

Though departmental radio organization varies by station size, most organizations feature the same two top positions:

.  general manager  enforces station policies, maintains contact with the community, and
   monitors program content, ratings, and sales information

.  program director  responsible for the station’s sound, plus hiring/firing on air personalities

Most stations are also divided into four departments:

sales                                                                                                                           news
programming                                                                                                             engineering

Putting Together a Program

Music Format

When the staff of a station puts together a program, the first step is generally to lay out a format wheel (a.k.a. format clock), a pie chart of an hour divided into segments representing different program elements and the times they’re scheduled to be aired.

Talk Format

Produced by the local staff, talk show topics are geared to the interests of the local audience listening in at a particular time.  Producing a talk show requires more equipment and technical expertise than a DJ program, such as a delay time (used to censor anything unseemly from a caller) and a call screener (someone who ranks waiting calls for importance and probable interest).

All-News Format

Similar to a music format programming wheel, an all-news format schedules in specific spots for news, weather, sports, business reports, and commercials.  The cycle (the time that elapses before the program order is repeated) generally starts at the top and/or bottom of the hour.  This is the most difficult and costly program format because of the large staff required to produce the programming.


ECONOMICS

Sources of Revenue

Radio stations earn money by selling advertising time, the amount for which is generally included in the station’s rate card.  Revenue for on air commercials comes from three sources (average percentage of station revenue follows):

            .            national ads (usually on network programs to national advertisers)   5 %
            .            regional ads or national spot ads (less market coverage than national, more than local)  16 %
            .            local ads (purchased generally by local business or organizations)   79 %

General Expenses

Expenses in radio are divided into five areas:

            .            technical-- engineering staff payroll plus technical repairs and maintenance
            .            programming-- covers talent salaries, tape and record costs, music fees
            .            selling-- sales staff salaries and sales-related expenses
            .            administration--management and business staff salaries, building expenses, supplies
            .            news-- news source fees


FEEDBACK

Radio program ratings are conducted by professional research organizations, the largest in the industry being Arbitron, which surveys radio listening in about 262 markets across the country.  Some 3,000-4,000 listeners are chosen at random in a given market, and those who agree to do the survey fill in a daily diary noting which stations they listen to and when (only 45-50 percent of the diaries returned are in useable form).  Measurements of audience patterns are made and then sent to the participating stations.  The results take two forms:

            .            ratings-- ratio of listeners to a station relative to all the people in that market

Example:   100,000 people in the market with 20,000 listening to station WXYZ
ratings = 20,000/100,000 or a 20 percent rating

audience-- ratio of listeners to a station relative to the total number of people in the market
share-- actually listening to radio at the same time

Example: 80,000 people are listening to radio with 20,000 tuned in to WXYZ
audience share = 20,000/80,000 or a 25 percent audience share

Ratings and audience share figures are important because they determine how much a station should charge for on-air advertising time.

Radio Audience Profiles

            . 550 million radio sets in the US (about two per person), one third of which are in cars
            .  on a typical day three-fourths of all adults will listen to some radio
            .   the average person will have the radio on for about three hours daily
            .   most people listen to radio during the twice daily rush-hour drive times (6-10 am and 4-7 pm)
           
            .    as a person ages, he or she tends to evolve out of one radio format and go into another

2014 Theatrical Market Statistics (from the MPAA)

Below you'll find the latest data regarding the movie-going audience in the U.S./Canada and worldwide:

http://www.mpaa.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/MPAA-Theatrical-Market-Statistics-2014.pdf

2014 Studio Profitability (from The Hollywood Reporter)


Overview of the Movie Industry

Movies

HISTORY OF THE MOTION PICTURE

Motion pictures and television are possible because of two quirks of the human perceptual system: the phi phenomenon and persistence of vision. The phi phenomenon refers to what happens when a person sees one light source go out while another one close to the original is illuminated. To our eyes, it looks like the light moves from one place to another. In persistence of vision, our eyes continue to see an image for about 1/10 second after the image has disappeared from view.

The Edison Lab and Other Early Experiments

Thomas Edison and William Dickson developed the first practical motion picture camera and viewing device. Dickson developed the idea of taking many pictures simultaneously by using sprocket-fed film to run past a camera lens. In 1889 the pair developed the Kinetoscope, a viewing device that allowed a single person to see the projected film through a peep hole. Edison erred, however, in thinking that film profits would be made by selling the hardware rather than mass admissions to see the film itself. Edison later recanted and developed a projection version of his machine, in 1896, which he called the Vitascope. Vaudeville theaters soon began showing early “films” in-between acts as novelty features, attractions that proved highly successful for a time.

The Nickelodeons

Public interest was soon rekindled when early filmmakers found that movies could be used to tell a story. Many early films, such as George Melies’ A Trip to the Moon, were shot with stationary cameras, much like having a front row seat at a stage production. Then a few American filmmakers saw the aesthetic potential of mobile camera placement and film editing techniques to make films more lifelike and exciting, among them Edwin Porter’s The Great Train Robbery in which he was the first to use mobile camera placement and cut-away scenes.

Nickelodeons, 50-90 seat theaters that charged a nickel admission sprung up almost overnight to accommodate the new demand for narrative films. To keep audiences returning, films had to be changed often—sometimes daily—to attract repeat customers. The demand for new films soared, and along with new film studios to meet that demand.

Zukor and Griffith

In 1912 Adolph Zukor experimented with the medium by charging audiences $1 to see the four-reel film Queen Elizabeth. His experiment proved that middle class audiences would pay a premium amount to watch long but well made films. Later, D.W. Griffith added to the experiment with his three-hour-long and racially biased 1915 film, Birth of a Nation. In response, two African-American brothers successfully produced and marketed a film aimed at black audiences.

Birth of the MPPC

Trying to bring order to a rapidly expanding industry (and to trim rising legal fees for copyright violations and patent infringements), the leading film and equipment makers banded together, pooled their patents, and formed the Motion Picture Patents Company (MPPC) in order to restrict moviemaking to the nine companies that made up the MPPC. Instead of squelching competition, however, the MPPC actually encouraged it. Annoyed by its repressive and conservative regulations, independent producers began offering films to exhibitors at cheaper rates. Smaller film-makers soon found themselves a new, and quieter, home in Hollywood. By 1917 the MPPC was extinct.

The Star System

Independent film-makers quickly recognized that the public was interested in particular actors and actresses (the MPPC refused to even identify their performers). Promoting these stars, independent studios began to capitalize on the audience drawing power of certain performers, such as Florence Lawrence (perhaps our first star), Theda Bara, Lillian Gish, William S. Hart, Charlie Chaplin(the Tramp), and Mary Pickford (America’s sweetheart). Eventually many of these stars joined together to form their own studio—United Artists. Fan interest in star-featured films soon gave birth to longer movies and cries for more comfortable and elaborate movie theaters than the nickelodeons.

Consolidation and Growth

To insure continued high profits, film producers aggressively branched out into all three divisions of the film industry: production, distribution, and exhibition. Film-makers became distributors as well as chain theater owners, while some theater owners moved toward buying their own film studios. A new practice called block booking helped solidify power as well; under this system distributors told theater owners that they would have to accept a certain number of lower quality films if they wanted to continue receiving the top feature movies. By the end of WW I in 1918, American film-makers controlled 80 percent of the worldwide film market.

The Roaring Twenties

Endorsing the idea that the only way to make money was to spend money, Hollywood soon began spending record amounts on salaries and production costs (a 1500 percent increase from 1914-1924).

Along with new-won fortunes came untamed excesses, and, under growing public pressures, the film industry tried to regulate itself. One direct result was the creation of the Motion Picture Producers and Distributors Association, which successfully averted the imposition of government controls.

The Coming of Sound

Silent films, which had never really been silent thanks to play-along pianos and organs, essentially came to an end in 1927 with the production of Warner Brothers’ The Jazz Singer, starring Al Jolson.

With the advent of sound, voices that didn’t “fit” well with existing film actors ended several silent film careers. Directors now had to contend with sound as a vital element of film making, and the cost of shooting films rose because of the new advantages (and restrictions) that sound imposed.

Not surprisingly, the Depression era economics of the 1930s cut into film profits, and Hollywood responded by introducing the practice of showing double features, two films for the price of one. Studios also began experimenting with Technicolor and animation to help encourage attendance.

The Studio Years

Hollywood’s studio years lasted between 1930-1950, featuring such famous studio names as MGM, 20th Century Fox, RKO, Warner Brothers, Paramount, Universal, Columbia, and United Artists. The studios created hundreds of acres of back-lot movie sets, constructed elaborate sound stages, and built up showy stables of creative talent, carefully groomed for stardom. Since music was easier and cheaper to put on film than dialogue, musical films also became popular at the time. The musical extravaganza emerged as a film genre, the main practitioner being New York dance choreographer Busby Berkeley. The situation comedy, a 1930s film genre that blended romance with light banter and comedy, also became a public favorite. But perhaps the most significant period for motion picture achievement was the time between 1939-1941 with the premier of such all-time film classics as Gone With the Wind, The Wizard of Oz, Stagecoach, and Citizen Kane.

Another development that significantly changed the industry was government’s 1938 suit against them which claimed that Hollywood’s vertical control of film production, distribution, and exhibition constituted a monopoly. In 1948 the courts ordered film-makers to divest themselves of at least one type of holding; most chose to get out of their theater chains, or the exhibition end. The court also stopped block booking, thus depriving the studios of a guaranteed exhibition for all their films.

The Film Industry Reacts to TV

As the new TV medium began cutting into movie profits in the late 1940s, Hollywood tried to fight back in several ways: studios refused to advertise their films on TV, refused to release old films for showing on TV, and they even tried to bar their film stars from appearing on television.

Hollywood also attempted to lure audiences back with technical wizardry, featuring such novelties as 3-D, Cinerama (a film shown using three projectors and a very, very wide screen), the “spectacle” film (noted for its lavish sets, casts of thousands, big name stars, and wide screen effects), musicals, and finally, movies with adult-oriented themes that TV couldn’t match. These attempts to compete did not work. Then, belatedly, Hollywood saw that it was in its best interests to cooperate with TV, and in the late 1950s the studios began supplying programs to network TV and began releasing pre-1948 films.

Realignments: Film in the 1960s and 1970s

Major studios began losing their industry influence, and studios began working closer with television. The continued rise of the independent producer also led a concomitant loss of power by the studios. Contracts with creative talent were terminated, and many artists quickly created their own independent film companies. They were often so successful that by the mid-1960s over 80 percent of all films were made by independent production companies. Many remaining film companies were simply absorbed by larger conglomerates.

In the 1960s film controls loosened, and a switch took place from regulating content to regulating audiences, the later through the Motion Picture Association of America’s G-PG-R-X film codes. That same period saw an even greater blend of Hollywood and television as studios began making movies expressly for television.

Film Industry Trends in the 1970s

. revenues and budgets increased
. advent of blockbuster films
. small-budget film hits that could pay back investors a hundred fold
. an increased use of market research
. continued close ties with TV
. the rating system changes: PG-13 is added, and X replaces NC-17



MOTION PICTURES IN THE DIGITAL AGE

Whatever the timetable, the film industry’s conversion from analog to digital technology will affect films at all levels; this, in turn, will put motion pictures through a significant transition period.

Making Movies

Making digital films (cameras, editing, and special effects) is a technology still relatively young. But digital’s cheaper costs and greater editorial flexibility will certainly hasten its use and development.



DEFINING FEATURES OF MOTION PICTRES

• high production costs along with sizeable marketing and distribution costs (the average marketing cost to a blockbuster film has surpassed $200 million)
• dominated by big conglomerates
• the most expensive mass medium on a per title basis
• film has a strong aesthetic dimension, the one medium most discussed as an art form
• going to the movies continues to be a social experience


ORGANIZATION OF THE FILM INDUSTRY

Production

Films are produced by a variety of organizations and individuals. In 1996 independent producers made more than two-thirds of all films, and four out of the five Oscar nominated films in 1996 were independently produced. Major studios today are generally used mainly for finance and distribution purposes.

Distribution

The industry’s distribution arm is responsible for making multiple copies of a movie, then booking and supplying prints of films to theaters around the world, as well as to TV, DVD, video, and pay-per-view outlets. Distribution people are also responsible for advertising and promoting the film.

Distribution companies are firmly entrenched in the industry for several reasons:

. big studios already have a world-wide studio-to-theater communications network set up
. unlike independents, big studios can offer theaters a steady stream films with big name stars
. distributors also serve as major sources of financial underwriting for independent film-makers

Exhibition

Perhaps the biggest trends in exhibition are the increase in theater screens, now just over 37,000, as well as theater upgrades such as digital surround sound, stadium seating, better sound proofing, and gourmet concession stands. The negative side is that the exhibition industry may have overbuilt a bit too much since several major chains are experiencing thin profit margins.


OWNERSHIP IN THE FILM INDUSTRY

As of 2015, the top six film conglomerates and their studios are:

. The Walt Disney Company (Touchstone and Buena Vista)
. Time Warner (Warner Brothers)
. Viacom (Paramount)
. Sony (Sony Pictures Entertainment)
. Vivendi (Universal)
. News Corporation (20th Century Fox) a Rupert Murdoch enterprise


PRODUCING MOTION PICTURES

Departments

Though differences exist, a typical studio might be organized along these departmental lines:

. distribution
. film production division
. TV production division

Preproduction

There are three distinct phases in moviemaking:

. preproduction
. production
. postproduction

All films begin with an idea, such as a novel or play. The next phase is to write a narrative of the film and then draft/polish the final working script. All the while the producer may try to nail down financing, talent, behind-the-camera personnel (director, cinematographer, film editor, etc.), filming locations, and a general investment interest in making the film.

Production

Production if the actual filming stage of the movie. Shooting even a moderate-budget film can cost $300,000 to $500,000 a day, and the average shooting schedule for a typical film is about 70 days. Each day’s shooting results in an average of less than two minutes of usable film. Most exhibitors favor  films that are about 100 minutes long so that a theater can run through two showings in the same evening.

Postproduction

When the film is complete, the film editor begins the postproduction stage of the film. This includes deciding how long scenes should last, special effects additions, sound editing, and finally the making of the release print of the film. Later, preview audiences fill out special preview cards that indicate their reactions to the film; only fine tuning changes are generally made at this point.


ECONOMICS

Movies are an expensive medium. In the late 1990s, the average film cost $60 million to produce and another $20-25 million to market and promote. Today, the "average" Hollywood produced film costs more than $200 million, with many films costing an ADDITIONAL $200 million to market.


Financial success is a function of U.S. and foreign box office revenue, DVD/video sales, cable fees, broadcast TV rights, airline showings, pay-per-view, hotels, and satellite channels.


Financing Films Finance sources include:

. direct loan from distributor (in return for distribution rights and/or studio equipment rentals)

. pickup distributor agrees to buy finished film for a set price at a later date; meanwhile, the
producer gets a bank loan for production. A third party, a completion guarantor, is brought
in to make sure the loan gets repaid.

. a limited partnership finances the picture through outside investors

. under a joint venture agreement, several film production and distribution companies pool their
resources and agree to finance one or more films

The producer and distributor also agree on how the distributor’s gross receipts from the film will be divided. Since the distributor takes the greatest risks, the distributor is the first to be paid. Finally, the actual film production loans are paid.

Dealing with the Exhibitor

A distributor’s license with an exhibitor sets the terms under which the showing of the film occurs, such as run length (number of days theater must show the film), holdover rights (dates film will be available), and clearance rights (the time that must elapse before film can be shown at a competing theater). A license also specifies how the receipts will be divided between distributor and exhibitor; some of the most common schemes are:

. split percentage: exhibitor splits receipts with distributor according to a pre-agreed formula

. sliding scale: as box-office revenues rise, so does the money exhibitor must pay distributor

. 90-10 deal: exhibitor first subtracts operating expenses, then pays distributor 90 percent while
exhibitor keeps the remaining 10

In terms of other revenue, theaters can make up to 90 percent of their profits from concession sales.

Promoting the Film

The first three days a film opens (usually a weekend) is crucial to its success; films that open poorly seldom do well. Consequently, a good deal of promotion, marketing, and advertising is targeted to getting people into theaters for that opening weekend. Common promotion methods include:

. a pre-opening media promotion and advertising blitz
. using trailers (film clips from the movie) during a theater’s “Coming Attractions” segment
. opening the film simultaneously in every available theater
. engage in a merchandising tie-in with a fast food company
. scheduling a film’s opening during historically prime movie times (big Holiday weekends-- Thanksgiving, Memorial Day, Independence Day, summer breaks (when schools are out), etc.)

FEEDBACK

Box Office

Film industry feedback centers on weekly box-office figures (taken from 1600 theaters in 24 urban markets, which also accounts for about ¼ of the film’s total gross income).

Market Research

Because of rising film costs, market research has become a much more important factor in the film production process. The first step is generally to test promising plot lines, followed by an analysis of the script. That’s followed by issuing a rough cut of the film, which is in turn used for a series of test screenings. Often a focus group (10-15 random members of a target audience) is used to get a detailed analysis of the group’s reactions toward the film.

Motion Picture Audiences

Hollywood puts little faith—or money—into doing audience analysis, preferring instead the bottom line figures of box-office revenues for guidance. But we do know a few things; for example, one out of two audience members are under 30, teenagers account for 30 percent of the audience, and older fans are now more likely to go to a movie than they were five years ago.


Frequent movie goers (they see at least 12 films a year) account for 77 percent of all film admissions. Of these frequent goers, most are single, 16-39, they are more educated, from middle-class families, and they live in urban areas. The audiences for movies are largest in July and August, smallest in May. Worst two weeks of the year for exhibitors: the first two weeks in December.

The number of tickets sold domestically each year appears to have leveled off, with only slight differences over the past 20 years.

For example, the number of tickets expected to be sold in 2015 is 1.26b, and the number sold in 1996 was 1.27b. The difference, of course, is that there are considerably more people today (322m) than in 1996 (269.4m), so the rate has dropped precipitously. Put another way, in 1996 the average person went to just under 5 movies per year; in 2015 that number is less than 4. That's not a positive trend.

Annual Ticket Sales

199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015
Tickets (billion)1.221.271.421.451.441.391.441.581.551.471.391.411.401.391.421.331.281.391.341.271.26
Revenue ($bn)5.295.596.516.787.307.488.139.189.359.118.939.259.639.9510.6510.4810.1411.0710.9010.3610.53
Note: Figures for 2015 are at an annualized rate.



Through November 1st of 2015, Universal is leading the pack in worldwide revenue:

January 1–November 1, 2015
Overall Gross: $8.960 billion
RankDistributorMarket
Share
Total
Gross*
Movies
Tracked
2015
Movies**
1Universal26.1%$2,340.51917
2Buena Vista16.6%$1,490.8139
3Warner Bros.16.0%$1,437.83422
420th Century Fox11.6%$1,039.21912
5Sony / Columbia7.5%$672.41713
6Paramount6.5%$579.4128
7Lionsgate4.1%$364.92220

The top 7 studios collectively account for nearly 93% of all market share. If one were to include the mini-major studio of The Weinstein Brothers, then the number is nearly 96%. All other film studios combined (and there are hundreds of them) account for only 4% of revenue. 

 

Reminder: SWOT #5 is due tonight (Sunday, November 8, 2015) by midnight, PST

Good morning,

I just wanted to send along a brief reminder that your final SWOT Analysis is due tonight by midnight, PST.

Thanks.

Jack


Friday, November 6, 2015

Disney sets revenue ($52.5b) and net income ($8.4b) records

For the full fiscal year, Disney set a revenue record of $52.5 billion and scored a record $8.4 billion in net income.

Walt Disney on Thursday reported quarterly earnings of $1.20 per share and revenue of $13.51 billion, just shy of expectations on the top line but ahead of predictions on the bottom line.
Analysts had predicted that Disney would earn an adjusted $1.14 per share in its fiscal fourth quarter on revenue of $13.52 billion. Some analysts expected as much as $13.57 billion.
Disney's closely watched "media networks" segment was expected to gather $5.47 billion in revenue but it scored $5.83 billion.
For the full fiscal year, Disney set a revenue record of $52.5 billion and scored a record $8.4 billion in net income.
Wall Street is scrutinizing Disney's earnings even more than usual, in particular the results at media networks, which includes Disney's cable TV unit. Commentary and numbers associated with ESPN and other cable channels three months ago sent the entire sector into a tailspin.
That time around, Disney's shares collapsed from $120 to $90, though they recovered to $113 as of Thursday. After the closing bell, once the quarterly results were released, the shares were sinking 2 percent.
Within media networks, cable was up 12 percent in revenue to $4.24 billion while broadcasting was up 10 percent to $1.58 billion. Cable showed impressive 30 percent growth in operating income compared to just 1 percent growth for broadcasting.
Cable's growth was attributed to increases at ESPN, A&E Television Networks and the Disney Channels.
Studio entertainment revenue came in at $1.78 billion, showing zero growth for the segment, but TV and SVOD, which are also factored into the segment, led to more than double the operating income, at $530 million.
Half the company's revenue and most of its profit comes from television, but analysts are also looking ahead to Star Wars, the seventh installment of which opens Dec. 18.
Some analysts forecast that Disney's share of Star Wars merchandise could reach $500 million in 2016 alone. Meanwhile, advance sales for the movie are setting records. Imax, for example, sold $6.5 million worth of tickets in a single day, six times more than what it sold for Hunger Games: Catching Fire over a similar timeframe.
During a conference call to discuss earnings, CEO Bob Iger reminded Wall Street that there will be three Star Wars movies released before the end of 2017 "with even more to come." He called next month's Star Wars: Episode VII — The Force Awakens "a truly epic adventure."
Disney's parks and resorts segment, its second largest after media networks, showed a 10 percent rise in revenue to $4.36 billion and a 7 percent gain in operating income to $738 million.
Consumer products was up 11 percent in revenue to $1.2 billion and up 10 percent in operating income to $416 million.
Interactive was the only segment to fall in revenue, notching $347 million, 4 percent less than a year ago, but it managed a 72 percent increase in operating income to $31 million.
During the conference call, Iger was asked if he wanted to clarify remarks he made three months earlier about slower cable growth, given the impact it had on Wall Street. He said he did not.
"There's no reason to panic," he said, while also acknowledging that there is "more competition for people's time."
Young people aren't signing up for cable TV as much as they used to, he said, but Disney will capitalize via online distribution. "The more the merrier," he said of the myriad services offered nowadays.
Along those lines, earlier Thursday Disney said it struck a deal allowing Sony's PlayStation Vue to stream its channels, including ABC and ESPN.
Email: Paul.Bond@THR.com

Wednesday, November 4, 2015

Understanding TV Ratings

Understanding TV Ratings

(From TVByTheNumbers.com)

This video is quite instructive:


Here are some definitions and explanations directly from Nielsen.

Common Terms:
TV HHs: the Nielsen estimate of the number of television households in the USA
PERS 2+: The Nielsen estimate for the number of people aged 2 and over in the USA
LIVE+SD: The number that watched a program either while it was broadcast OR watched via DVR on the same day the program was broadcast (kind of, see below)
LIVE+7: Same as above, but 7 days rather than 3.
Ratings: Nielsen uses a ratings point system. 1 ratings point = 1% of the Nielsen estimate for the category being measured (more detail below).
A18-49 or Adults 18-49 Ratings  - this is the advertising demographic advertisers are usually most interested in for primetime shows.  It's the important number in terms of how well a show is doing.  Total viewers (P2+ above) don't really make a difference.
***
It is our goal to demystify the #s wherever possible. Here are some helpful numbers to keep in mind.
Nielsen uses a ratings point system. One rating point = 1% of the Nielsen universe. 
TV HHs= Households with TVs
Pers 2+ -this is the estimate of the total number of people age 2 and over in the US for the 2012-2013 season.
These are the two basic sets of numbers that drive the generally available ratings which Nielsen releases.
Keeping in mind that a ratings point is 1% of the universe, all of the aggregate ratings you see are calculated against these two numbers. Nielsen provides ratings for both TV HHs AND Pers 2+. Since these are two different sets of numbers, the lists can be very confusing. 
If you see a HHs rating of 6.2, that means 6.2% of the households were tuned into that program. The math works like this (based on Nielsen estimates):
6.2% of 112,800,000 = 6,993,600 TV HHs were tuned in.
While TV HHs are a good proxy for how many people are watching, Nielsen also tracks how many people in each household were watching a show. Sometimes you may see something with a VIEWER or Pers 2+ rating. These numbers are just a percentage of the 286,300,000 people estimate.
Different shows have different numbers of people per household watching. It's not the same for every show. So it's very possible for one show with less households to have more viewers. It happens all the time. Again, we seek to eliminate that complexity by focusing on viewers and ranking our lists accordingly.
Nielsen further breaks their universe estimates for Persons 2+ into age groups (2-11, 18-34, 25-54, etc.). The particular age group ranking generally available is the 18-49 demographic. This equals roughly 131,050,000 (or less than HALF of the total universe of 286,000,000).
Advertisers tend to like the 18-49 and 25-54 brackets. Currently we only have access to data segmented by 18-49.
Has your head popped off from thinking about all of this yet? If not, read on.
Time Shifted Viewing – Program ratings for national sources are produced in three streams of data – Live, Live + Same Day (Live+SD) and Live + 7 Day (Live+7). Time shifted figures account for incremental viewing that takes place with DVRs which are currently in approximately 24.4% of all U.S. TV households. Live + Same Day include viewing during the same broadcast day as the original telecast, with a cut-off of 3:00AM local time when meters transmit daily viewing to Nielsen for processing. Live+ 7 Day ratings include incremental viewing that takes place during the 7 days following a telecast.
To simplify this, if you have Heroes on your DVR that was recorded at 9pm, as long as you watch it prior to 3AM, it will count in the LIVE+SD numbers. So same day isn't exactly the same day, but they always measure this the same, so it's consistent. If you don't watch until 4am (why are you still awake at 4am!?) it will not count in the LIVE+SDnumbers but it will count in the LIVE+7 (live usage plus 7 days worth of DVR usage).
Households Using Television (HUT): The percentage of all television households in a survey area with one or more sets in use during a specific time period. The sum of the average ratings for a given time period will sometimes be higher than the HUT number because of households viewing multiple programs at the same time. If a household is watching two programs, it is counted toward each program rating but only once toward a HUT number.